Taking a Look at the Numbers - July 3rd to July 9th

With the recent numbers in tracking is showing slight gains by Senator McCain and yet still a narrow lead by Senator Obama in the race for the White House.

There it could, quite simply, be considered that the progress that Senator McCain makes against the current front runner in this race, Senator Obama, has to be slow and steady, pushing against the Illinois Senator where he can to make the in roads he needs to eventually push past him. Though he may be moving in the right direction he is still a long way off from where he does need to be.

By Citizen Correspondent Wyatt McIntyre

Date Posted: 07/10/08

Reader Rating:

Well it could be that something is working...

A week after the shake up in the campaign of Arizona Senator John McCain that saw a shift in the way it was being run and the messaging that it offered, it would seem that there has been some slightly better news for the Presumptive Republican Nominee. There has been movement in the most recent poll tracking numbers and they mark an improvement on the part of the Arizona Senator.

According to the numbers out of Rasmussen Reports and their daily survey. Whereas at this time last week he was polling at 40 percent to Illinois Senator Barack Obama's 46 percent among the hard numbers, he is now showing a one point improvement to his principle rivals two point decline. Among the soft support there has even been some what of a move, whereas, at this time last week it was split Senator McCain's 44 percent to Senator Obama's 49 percent, Rasmussen is showing that Senator Obama is heading into his first two day shift down in weeks, whereas McCain has fluctuated back up. All and all it gives Senator Obama an average of a 3 point lead when the numbers are combined.

Gallup is showing it's own movement but essentially to the same result. Though perhaps not as good for Senator McCain it still has to be welcomed news. In the past week McCain, according to their tracking, has dropped one point, but on the other hand the Presumptive Democratic Nominee has dropped double points since this time last week, falling to a three point lead, the lowest his numbers have been since mid to late June.

It perhaps isn't perfect news for Senator McCain, considering Real Clear Politics, which averages the most recent polls offered shows Senator Obama with a 5.5 percent lead, at 48.1 to McCain's 41.6, and CNN has it at a 48 to 42, 6 point spread in favor of Senator Obama with an average of three polls combined, though with the CNN average it has to be considered that they are still using the 12 point lead reported from the LA Times/Bloomberg poll of late June as one of their three major polls.